.inner_percentage.Republican { ) To ensure consistency, all 2021 (pre-redistricting) and 2022 (post-redistricting) PVI scores cited in this report reflect the new formula. 9, 2022, How Supreme Court Radicalism Could Threaten Democracy Itself, Slate, Mar. The Cook Political Report's Partisan Voter Index - Google News. L. Rev. } "[17], Following the 2010 United States Census, Texas gained four congressional seats. These races are not considered competitive and are not likely to become closely contested. .votebox-results-metadata-p { * Includes an independent senator who caucuses with the Democrats. The following candidates ran in the Democratic primary for U.S. House Texas District 30 on March 1, 2022. The proposal I helped develop, Final Five Voting (FFV), requires two changes: (1) Eliminate party primaries. Rick Perry (R) in June 2013. A district or state that "performed within half a point of the national average in either direction" is designated as "Even". font-size: small; .leg-infobox-bold-text { } padding-bottom: 3px; [preview] => Last year saw a slight increase in the number of swing districts as former Republican suburban seats moved left and midwestern Democratic seats moved right. These lines are subject to veto by the governor. [w] => 0 overflow-y: auto; } [1] [2] padding-top: 5px; Now that all 50 states have finalized new lines for the 2022 elections, the Cook Political Report is pleased to introduce the 25th Anniversary edition of the Cook Partisan Voting Index (Cook PVI) for all 50 states and 435 congressional districts, reflecting new post-redistricting boundaries. On November 3, 1998, Eddie Bernice Johnson won re-election to the United States House. display: table; She defeated Stephen Broden (R) and J. The most Democratic-leaning state to have a Republican senator is Maine (D+2 PVI), represented by Susan Collins. margin-left: 5px; [author] => .results_row.winner { document.getElementById('leg-hnt-content63ffdc0a3871f').classList.remove('leg-hnt-hide'); [post_parent] => .leg-hnt-section-title { } [order] => DESC In the Senate, the most Republican-leaning state to have a Democratic senator is West Virginia (R+22 PVI), represented by Joe Manchin. The PVI is designed to reflect the unique partisan nature of each congressional district. .leg-infobox-flex-box-row { } } ) The most Democratic district in the nation is California's12th, based in Oakland, with a PVI value of D+40. The Cook Partisan Voting Index, abbreviated Cook PVI, CPVI, or PVI, is a measurement of how strongly a United States congressional district or U.S. state leans toward the Democratic or Republican Party, compared to the nation as a whole, based on how that district or state voted in the previous two presidential elections. The Senate approved the proposal in an 18-13 vote, and the House approved the bill in an 84-59 vote. [meta_value] => According to data from Daily Kos, voters in the redrawn 7th District supported Joe Biden (D) over Donald Trump (R) 52.6% to 45.8% in the 2020 presidential election. 2311 Wilson Blvd Third Floor, Arlington, VA 22201, House Rating Change: Slotkin Senate Run Moves MI-07 to Toss Up, Michigan Senate: With Slotkin Announcement, Democrats Look to Avoid Primary, Indiana Senate: Primary War Averted After Daniels Passes, Banks Sews Up Support, Montana Senate: To Democrats Relief, Tester Saddles Up For Reelection. [author__in] => Array 1521 (2018). Johnson defeated Barbara Mallory Caraway and Brandon Vance in the Democratic primary on March 1, 2016, while Lingerfelt faced no opposition in the Republican primary.[1][2]. She defeated Wilson Aurbach (R) and Ken Ashby (L) in the general election. Below is our 2022 Cook Partisan Voting Index (Cook PVI) score for all 435 districts. The most Democratic district in the nation is California's12th, based in Oakland, with a PVI value of D+40. ( .infobox td { Edward B. Foley, Requiring Majority Winners for Congressional Elections: Harnessing Federalism to Combat Extremism (May 10, 2021). [page_id] => 0 (Cook PVI) is a service mark of Invincible Summer Media, Inc. Our subscribers have first access to individual race pages for each House, Senate and Governors race, which will include race ratings (each race is rated on a seven-point scale) and a narrative analysis pertaining to that race. box-sizing: border-box; NO. The link below will take you to maps of polling places and precincts for each of suburban Cook County's thirty townships. width: 350px; .votebox-results-cell--check { These ratings are based upon factors such as the strength of the incumbent (if the incumbent is running for re-election), the strength of the candidates, and the partisan history of the district (the Cook Partisan Voting Index (CPVI) is one example of this metric). A swing district . If a state or district performed within half a point of the nation in either direction, we assign it a score of EVEN. Last edited on 21 February 2023, at 22:36, "The differences between real grassroots and "Astroturf" matter", "There are 119Republican House members who should be VERY nervous today", "The Cook Partisan Voting Index (Cook PVI)", "Introducing the 2022 Cook Partisan Voting Index (Cook PVI)", https://en.wikipedia.org/w/index.php?title=Cook_Partisan_Voting_Index&oldid=1140813943. .leg-infobox-state-flag { Source. overflow-x: scroll; Stanford Law SchoolView posts , Sudler Family Professor [tag_id] => [relation] => } ( ( [query_vars] => Array 21-07, CLC on The Supreme Courts Role in the Degradation of U.S. Democracy, Jake Grumbach: Laboratories Against Democracy, Rachel Maddow: What Ultra Can Teach Us About Threats to Democracy Today, Lynn Vavreck & Chris Tausanovitch: Lessons for Democracy from the 2022 Midterm Elections, Maggie Haberman: Trump, Trumpism and the Threats to American Democracy, Moore v. Harper and Potential Threats to American Democracy, Fixing the Electoral Count Act to Stop Future Stolen Elections. Republicans continue to benefit from an electoral map tilted in their favor on nearly all levels. A Partisan Voting Index (Cook PVI) score of D+2, for example, means that in the 2016 and 2020 presidential elections, the state or district performed about two points more Democratic in terms of two-party vote share than the nation did as a whole, while a score of R+4 means the state or district performed about four points more Republican. .leg-hnt-border-top { [s] => align-items: center; text-align: center; } Interns wanted: Get paid to help ensure that every voter has unbiased election information. The Civitas Partisan Index (CPI) is a measure of the partisan tendency of state legislative districts. This made Texas' 30th Congressional District the 28th most Democratic nationally. NYU School of LawView posts , Kirkland & Ellis Professor of Law, Harvard Law SchoolView posts , Fred W. & Vi Miller Dean and Professor of Law [day] => 0 Modeled after the Cook Partisan Voting Index, the CPI compares the political leanings of voters in each state House and Senate district with the partisan voting tendencies of the state as a whole. The Cook Partisan Voting Index, abbreviated Cook PVI, CPVI, or PVI, is a measurement of how strongly a United States congressional district or U.S. state leans toward the Democratic or Republican Party, compared to the nation as a whole, based on how that district or state voted in the previous two presidential elections. Tre Pennie advanced from the Republican primary for U.S. House Texas District 30 on March 3, 2020. The PVI was developed by Charles Cook, editor and publisher of Cook, and scores each congressional district based on how strongly it leans toward one political party. Now that all 50 states have finalized new lines for the 2022 elections, the Cook Political Report is pleased to introduce the 25th Anniversary edition of the Cook Partisan Voting Index (Cook PVI) for all 50 states and 435 congressional districts, reflecting new post-redistricting boundaries. font-style: italic; column-rule: 1px solid #aaa; [attachment_id] => 0 With the PVI ratings and the 2020 elections on the horizon, legislators in 29 states have introduced over 100 bills calling for changes to their states redistricting process or for the creation of an independent redistricting commission. "The House is less 'elastic' than ever not just because the share of swing seats has cratered, but because voters are splitting their tickets less frequently. A district or state that "performed within half a point of the national average in either direction" is designated as "Even". These are the most competitive races; either party has a good chance of winning. event.srcElement.innerText = '[show]'; This meant that in those two presidential elections, this district's results were 22 percentage points more Republican than the national average. Source1Source2. ( position: relative; The PVI is determined by comparing each congressional district's presidential vote to the national presidential election results. Engage advocates and drive targeted actions with grassroots advocacy software. } Track legislation, regulations, and conversation on Capitol Hill. ( [4] The most Republican district in the nation is Alabama's4th (R+33), represented by Republican Robert Aderholt. } Bruce E. Cain, Wendy K. Tam Cho, Yan Y. Liu&Emily R. Zhang,A Reasonable Bias Approach to Gerrymandering: Using Automated Plan Generation to Evaluate Redistricting Proposals, 59 Wm. width: 100%; .leg-hnt-hide { These seats are not considered competitive at this point but have the potential to become competitive. } padding-bottom: 8px; [post__in] => Array margin-bottom: -2px !important; [nopaging] => float: right; For example, the 2017 PVI incorporated vote data from the 2016 and 2012 presidential elections. ( The most Republican seat in the nation continues to be Alabama's rural 4th CD, held by GOP Rep. Robert Aderholt, with a PVI score of R+33. display: flex; ( [7], 2002 [category__not_in] => Array .leg-infobox-flex-box-col { More podcast episodes , Unfortunately, the Biggest Election Case of the Supreme Court Term Could Soon Be Moot,Slate, February 6, 2023, Meta is Bringing Trump Back to Facebook. ) padding-top: 8px; Increase PAC participation, collect contributions, and file with the FEC. 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